Paul Reed Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 11:35 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has successfully made 66.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 25.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
The speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Paul Reed lands in the 17th percentile for shot attempts from downtown away from his home court, totaling 0.7 per game this year.
Paul Reed has been on the court for a measly 9.4 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 18.5 minutes per game last season.
Paul Reed has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
In terms of three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
Paul Reed is expected to experience a decrease in production across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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