Paul Reed Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has tallied 26.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the 76ers.
While playing at home, the Nets have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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