Paul Reed Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 12.9 more than he's played over the course of the season at home.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense).
Paul Reed stands to see an increase in efficiency across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has committed 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 more than he's committed in all games this year at home.
The 10th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

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