Paul Reed Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has been on the court for 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed is expected to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should lead to fewer plays for the 76ers.

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