Paul Reed Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Paul Reed has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Paul Reed will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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