Paul Reed Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has posted 2.4 assists per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's posted in all games this season on the road.
Paul Reed has been on the court for 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have secured 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the 76ers.
The Hornets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Paul Reed will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production for all stats.

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