Paul Reed Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+250/-375).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Paul Reed has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Paul Reed will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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