Paul George Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has tallied 6.7 defensive boards per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul George is expected to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George ranks in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Orlando Magic).
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic (saving possessions that can create added chances for offense).

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