Paul George Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs New York Knicks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has totaled 5.8 defensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's best by this metric over this stretch: 93rd percentile.
Paul George has played 34.1 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The LA Clippers have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 13 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The New York Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul George is expected to see a spike in output in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the LA Clippers.

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