Paul George Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has totaled 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's totaled overall this year.
Paul George has tallied 34.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).
The LA Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paul George has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The 7th-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA this year has been the LA Clippers.
This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 11.8 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (continuing possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).
Paul George will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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