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Paul George

Paul George Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paul George has tallied 4.8 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 85th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

The LA Clippers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paul George has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.

The Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA as the road team this year.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have collected 11.0 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

Paul George will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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