Paul George Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 9:52 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Clippers.
The Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have brought down 10.1 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about further opportunities for offense).
Paul George will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Paul George has tallied just 5.3 defensive boards per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.5 defensive boards per game last year.
Paul George has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish tempo in the league when playing at home this year.

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