Paul George Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has posted 6.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
Paul George has played 33.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
While playing on the road, the Raptors have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul George will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Paul George has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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