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Paul George

Paul George Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/2/2023

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Paul George has compiled 6.7 defensive rebounds per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
  • Paul George has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
  • On their home court, the Warriors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Paul George has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Clippers.
  • The LA Clippers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Paul George will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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