Paul George Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has posted 6.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.
Paul George has tallied 33.9 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Clippers.
Paul George will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Paul George has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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