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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 2/5/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paul George has converted 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year while playing at home.

Paul George has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%).

Paul George has converted 94.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 10.6% more than he's converted overall this season.

With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the 76ers's outstanding 22.8 free throw attempts per game places 4th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Paul George ranks in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.3 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).

The 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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