Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 24, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Paul George has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to boost opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Philadelphia 76ers's excellent 23.4 free throw attempts per game measures as the 4th-best in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Paul George has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up 13.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive production.
The most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last year's 3.6 clip, Paul George's free throws drained have decreased this year to 2.2 per game.