Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup against the Jazz is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Jazz have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the 76ers.
As a team, the Philadelphia 76ers have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line while playing on the road: 6th-best in the NBA this year, averaging 23.8 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 46.5% mark, Paul George's scoring prowess has fallen this year to 39.4%.
Paul George has attempted a mere 6.4 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 8.0 rate last year.
The most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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