Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Charlotte is a favorable one; when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court, they have allowed the 6th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 24 games (16.4).
The 76ers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Paul George has attempted 3.3 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.5 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Paul George has attempted just 13.2 shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 16.6 rate last year.
Paul George has attempted a measly 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.0 mark last season.
In comparison to last season's 34.0 mark, Paul George's playing time has diminished this season to 28.7 minutes per game.
The 76ers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the 76ers.

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