Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has attempted 7.9 treys per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Paul George has played 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 15.8 points per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, creating a favorable matchup for offensive output.
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Paul George has converted 88.7% of his free throw attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the 76ers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 1stworst in in the league with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the league).
Paul George will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance across the board.