Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one for three-point shots; when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest three rate in the league this year (48.0%).
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Paul George rates in the 93rd percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an excellent 89.0% rate since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.8 fouls per game since the start of last season.
When it comes to scoring, the Philadelphia 76ers's subpar 104.5 points per game at home rates 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.