Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

LA Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:30 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has put up 22.3 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 93rd percentile.
Among all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 98th percentile for three-point shots made, registering 3.2 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.0 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against the LA Clippers is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers rank 9th-best in in the league with 11.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Paul George has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 76ers have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the 76ers.
The matchup against Los Angeles may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 0.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the LA Clippers are on their home court (2nd-least in the league).
Paul George will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production across the board.