Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has successfully made 53.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Paul George has tallied 33.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
When it comes to shooting, the Clippers's terrific 111.6 points per game rates 10th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should boost possessions for the LA Clippers.
Paul George has made 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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