Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has successfully made 4.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year away from home.
Among all players in the league, Paul George rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.2 minutes per game this year.
The LA Clippers rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from home this year.
Paul George has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 12.1% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.7 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 8.4 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a tough matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).