Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has attempted 8.0 threes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Paul George has averaged 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 91st percentile.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have notched 15.7 points per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive production.
The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Paul George lands in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league while playing at home over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Paul George has successfully made a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 4.6 rate last season.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 0.2 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Wizards, struggling to draw fouls.

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