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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2024

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+165/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of offense, the LA Clippers's superb 119.8 points per game rates 6th-best in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 25th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (52.6%).

The Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Clippers.

This year, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 10th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the LA Clippers.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 1stworst in in the NBA at home with just 6.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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