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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paul George has posted 22.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 94th percentile.

In comparison to last season's 2.8 rate, Paul George's 3-pointers scored have jumped this season to 3.4 per game.

Paul George has played 33.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 24th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 10thbest in in the league away from their home court with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Paul George comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.8 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, opposing teams have put up the 4th-highest three rate in the league against them this year (38.2%).

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on the road this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.

As a team, the Clippers have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games, tallying just 20.8 foul shots per game.

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