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Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-141/+105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George places in the 97th percentile for 3-pointers scored, averaging 3.3 per game this year.Paul George has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.In terms of scoring, the Clippers's stellar 124.1 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.The LA Clippers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 19 games (the Pelicans).Relative to last season's 84.1% mark, Paul George's foul-shot effectiveness has risen this season to 92.6%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Paul George has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.4 three attempts per game (11th-lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a hard matchup.The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.At home, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
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