Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Paul George slots into the 96th percentile for 3-pointers converted playing at home, tallying 3.1 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.0 minutes per game while at home this year.
The LA Clippers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on field goals (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, labeling this as a strong matchup.
Paul George is expected to see a spike in output across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Paul George registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.
The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Clippers.
The LA Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Hornets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 4thworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has come down with 16.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Hornets (saving possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).

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