Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Paul George comes in at the 92nd percentile for shots without the home court advantage, registering 17.3 per game this year.
Paul George has attempted 8.0 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Paul George has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Clippers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Clippers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paul George has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The LA Clippers check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.9).
The 4th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
At home, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 9 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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