Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 11 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to increase plays for the Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 12 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Warriors have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted a colossal 29.4 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league).

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