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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Paul George has made 3.2 three-pointers per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Paul George has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile.
  • The Clippers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 13 games (the Trail Blazers).
  • The Clippers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Paul George stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year.
  • The Clippers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. Portland is a tough one; when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (10.6).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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