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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 7.4 rate, Paul George's three-point attempts have increased this year to 9.0 per game.

Paul George has played 34.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

The Clippers will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Kings).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George measures in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.8 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

The LA Clippers check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year.

Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Paul George will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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