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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2023

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 8.4 clip, Paul George's shots from the field drained have increased this year to 9.4 per game.

Paul George has played 34.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

In terms of three-point shots, the Clippers's remarkable 12.7 made threes per game playing at home places 10th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.

The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Relative to last year's 84.1% rate, Paul George's free-throw prowess has surged this year to 94.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 13th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.5).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Clippers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 9thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the foul line.

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