Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 3.0 rate, Paul George's 3-pointers converted have surged this year to 3.8 per game.
Paul George has tallied 34.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Clippers's terrific 38.9% rate of sunk threes while playing on the road rates 6th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a good one for shots from the field; when the Mavericks are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (6.5).
The 4th-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.

Favors Under

Paul George has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this season.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have averaged 49.6% on shot attempts from the field (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The LA Clippers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Mavericks is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.4 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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