Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 2.8 rate, Paul George's threes made have jumped this season to 3.4 per game.
Paul George has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Clippers check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league at home this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league playing at home this year.
The LA Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Paul George has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 11.7 points per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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