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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

The LA Clippers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last year's 4.9 rate, Paul George's foul shots hit have surged this year to 7.2 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paul George has attempted a measly 15.9 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 17.9 mark last year.

Paul George has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 12.7 points per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA as the road team this year.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).

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