Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has registered 24.0 points per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
Among all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 96th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, putting up 7.7 per game since the start of last season.
Paul George has been on the court for a terrific 36.5 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 34.3 minutes per game last year.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's outstanding 37.6% rate of converted threes places 4th-most in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league this year, which should boost plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 2.9 mark, Paul George's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 2.8.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 21.9% on threes (13th-weakest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can spark additional chances for offense).

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