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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs LA Clippers

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paul George has attempted 7.6 treys per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.0 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season.

In terms of scoring, the LA Clippers's outstanding 114.6 points per game while at home settles in as the 8th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.

The matchup against Brooklyn is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (39.9%).

The Clippers are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paul George has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (91st percentile).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 7thworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Nets are on their home court (12th-least in the NBA).

Paul George will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

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