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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Paul George has attempted 20.6 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Paul George has successfully made 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's made in all games this season when playing at home.
  • Paul George has played 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The LA Clippers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • When playing away from home, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Golden State is a tough one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (14.1).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
  • The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Clippers.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. Golden State is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting squad (9th-least in the NBA).

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