Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Paul George has successfully made 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three overall this season.
Paul George has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
The LA Clippers check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for field goals; the other team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (48.4%).

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The LA Clippers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Kings have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul George will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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