Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has attempted 20.6 shots per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Paul George has successfully made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three overall this year.
Paul George has tallied 33.9 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The LA Clippers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for threes; when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have put up the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (38.6%).

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (6th-least in the NBA).

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