Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has sunk 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's put through the net in all games this year while on his home court.
Paul George has played 32.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The LA Clippers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (which can also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Clippers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; their opposition have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (29.6).

Favors Under

Paul George has attempted a mere 17.5 shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 20.6 mark last season.
Paul George has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile).
The Spurs have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games while playing away from home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The LA Clippers have been the lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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