Paul George Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has made 3.2 three-pointers per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Paul George has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Clippers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 13 games (the Trail Blazers).
The Clippers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul George stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league as the road team over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 1.0 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a tough matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).