Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+123/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has averaged 5.4 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 92nd percentile.
Paul George has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
Paul George will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Paul George ranks in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.3 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).
The 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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