Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has compiled 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's compiled in all games this year.
Paul George has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Clippers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paul George has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The 3rd-slowest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Paul George ought to experience a decrease in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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