Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs LA Clippers · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM UTC

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has compiled 3.0 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league by this metric in recent games: 79th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.9 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Clippers will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year, their opposition has brought down 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Paul George comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The 4th-slowest tempo away offense in the league this year has been the Clippers.
Paul George is expected to see a decline in production for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

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