Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has posted 3.0 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 79th percentile.
Paul George has played 34.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The LA Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has nabbed 9.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Paul George places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on the road this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the LA Clippers.
Paul George is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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