Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has posted 4.0 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's best in this category over this stretch of games: 84th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Paul George ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The LA Clippers will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Over the last 10 games, their opposition has collected 8.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to further chances for offense).
Paul George will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George places in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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