Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 3:42 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has posted 4.2 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's hottest in this category over this stretch of games: 86th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Paul George comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 34.3 minutes per game at home this year.
Paul George ought to get a boost in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Paul George has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this year.
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 4thworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has secured 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns (retaining possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).

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